Arizona Ranks #3 in Economic Outlook

Finding Balance in Today’s Lumber Market

Oct 3, 2025

The lumber market today leaves wholesalers wedged between mill slowdowns, tariffs, and softer demand. At Trio, we explore what it will take to restore balance — from stable housing starts to consistent mill production — and how smart inventory management can benefit customers.

Warning: 13% Anti Dumping Duty Hits

Jun 28, 2025

As we rolled into July, lumber prices across framing, low grade, OSB, and structural panels showed signs of finding a bottom and beginning to bounce. But bigger waves are on the horizon: with AR6 trade rulings set to take effect, coupled with wildfire impacts, limited log supply, and mill curtailments, price disruptions are expected. Now may be the time to buy ahead of the forecasted 13%–21% increases.

Lumber Market On Edge: What Customers Need to Know

May 22, 2025

Lumber prices are at their lowest levels in months—but that may not last. With new trade duties on the horizon and possible mill shutdowns already underway, supply could tighten fast. In this market update, we break down what’s happening, what’s coming, and why now is a smart time to buy if you’ve got upcoming jobs. Don’t wait until prices spike—get ahead of the curve with Trio’s insights.

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The Lumber Market Serves as an Economic Indicator

There’s an eerie quiet in the lumber market today mostly driven by uncertainty of the changing economic conditions, and related to new home permits and starts. Single-family home construction in the U.S. saw a significant decline in March.

Despite the ongoing shortage of existing homes for sale, new construction is being hindered by rising mortgage rates, leading potential buyers to the dancefloor sidelines.

Reducing new homes sales only fuels the fire for more buyer affordability issues.

Some multi-family projects are just not penciling out. Multi-family is down significantly over last year, approximately 44 percent.

What does this mean for those needing lumber?

Our team feels like we are in good position to buy lumber right now. While the rest of the nation struggles with weather conditions delaying projects, changing economic conditions, and policy disruptions, Arizona is positioned well with new growth and opportunity.

Trio’s phones are ringing, our trucks are rolling fully loaded out of the lumberyard, our customers are calling consistently with lumber orders.

Right now, our lumber traders are positioned well to negotiate on your behalf and deliver confident quotes to you for your lumber purchases.

Arizona Ranks # 3 in Economic Outlook

Did you know there’s a report card for states based on their economic health

and Arizona is at the top of the list?

The annual “Rich States, Poor States” index ranks all 50 states on factors that impact growth. Strong economies are built on a solid foundation!

This report highlights how states with lower taxes, less debt, and free-market principles tend to attract more residents and businesses. That translates to a growing community, which is great news for everyone! After all, a thriving community means more opportunities and a brighter future for everyone in the industries we serve.

Read more about the Rich States, Poor States Economic Outlook for Arizona

Arizona Ranks #3 in Economic Outlook

Arizona is currently ranked 3rd in the United States for its economic outlook. This is a forward-looking forecast based on the state’s standing (equal-weighted average) in 15 important state policy variables. Data reflect state and local rates and revenues and any effect of federal deductibility.

Arizona Ranks #4 in Economic Performance

Arizona is currently ranked 4th in the United States for its economic performance. This rank is a backward-looking measure based on the state’s performance (equal-weighted average) in three important performance variables shown below. These variables are highly influenced by state policy.

As you dive into the key economic policy variables, think of it like navigating the twists and turns of the lumber market.

Just as lumber prices can signal shifts in construction and housing demand, these variables reveal the strategies that make states thrive or falter.

From the impact of tax cuts to the smart moves of debt reduction and free market flair, every page is a rollercoaster ride through the forces shaping our economic landscape.