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LATEST POSTS

Lumber Market On Edge: What Customers Need to Know

Lumber Market On Edge: What Customers Need to Know

May 22, 2025

Lumber prices are at their lowest levels in months—but that may not last. With new trade duties on the horizon and possible mill shutdowns already underway, supply could tighten fast. In this market update, we break down what’s happening, what’s coming, and why now is a smart time to buy if you’ve got upcoming jobs. Don’t wait until prices spike—get ahead of the curve with Trio’s insights.

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Lumber Tariffs Update

Lumber Tariffs Update

Apr 4, 2025

Tariff shifts, Canadian exemptions, and supply chain woes shake the lumber market. Find out how it impacts prices, housing, and builder plans.

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Uncertainty Reigns in the Lumber Market

Uncertainty Reigns in the Lumber Market

Mar 3, 2025

Lumber Market Update: A Waiting Game

With proposed tariffs on Canadian lumber looming, the market is stuck in neutral—engines revving but waiting to see which light turns green. Buyers, sellers, and suppliers alike are in wait-and-see mode, unsure how pricing and supply will shake out.

Will costs spike? Will demand shift?

No one has the answers yet. Even if tariffs are implemented, the uncertainty won’t end. Will mills raise prices in response, or will the market remain flat due to currently weak demand? For now, we’re watching and waiting—but rest assured, we’ll keep you updated as the situation unfolds.

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Warning: 13% Anti Dumping Duty Hits

ACF Type: wysiwyg

Lumber Market Movement 

As we roll into July, the composite graphs across framing lumber, low grade, OSB, and structural panels show prices finding a bottom and bouncing — a quiet moment that deserves a watchful eye.   

But bigger waves are on the horizon.

We’re nearing the final ruling on the AR6 trade case. Low current demand is expected to lead to supply disruptions when activity picks up, due to factors like AR6 duties (AD & CVD), wildfire impacts, limited log availability, and production curtailments.

According to sources, the AD (anti-dumping) ruling will be finalized as soon as 7/24/25 and take effect around 7/28/25, pending no further extensions. The CVD (countervailing duty) ruling will follow as soon as August.

Price Impact:

  • Expect an average 13% increase from the AD ruling
  • Followed by an average 8% increase from the CVD ruling
  • Although these apply to Canadian mills, U.S. mills will likely raise prices too

Recommendation:

If you need material and have the cash flow, it may be wise to buy now and avoid the expected price hikes.

Staying informed, staying adaptable, and leaning into strong partnerships — that’s how Trio helps customers weather what’s ahead with confidence and keep the American spirit of resilience alive.

Historically, we know the market will reignite. Maybe not with the thunder of a grand finale, but more like the steady shimmer of a sparkler lighting the way forward.